Job Exposure
Index

Home / All jobs / Transportation and Material Moving

AI exposure score

Bus Drivers, School

Bus Drivers, School score 32 out of 100, which is moderate exposure to AI. That ranks #501 of 923 US occupations, where #1 is the most exposed. Of the 17 tasks in this job, AI could speed up 5 on its own and 1 more with extra software built on top of it. In April–May 2026, 1 of these tasks showed up in real conversations with Claude, Anthropic's AI assistant.

32/ 100
Moderate
Rank
#501of 923 jobs
US workers
402,930BLS, May 2025
Median pay
$47,920a year
In real AI use
1 of 17tasks, April–May 2026

Task by task

Each task this job involves, as listed by O*NET, rated on whether a large language model like GPT-4 could cut the time it takes by at least half at the same quality. Tasks marked Seen in real AI use appeared in conversations with Claude in April–May 2026 (Anthropic Economic Index).

  • AI can speed this up on its own: 5 (29%)
  • AI can speed this up with extra software: 1 (6%)
  • Little or no AI speed-up: 11 (65%)
  • Maintain knowledge of first-aid procedures.AI can speed this up on its own
  • Prepare and submit reports that may include the number of students or trips, hours worked, mileage, or fuel consumption.AI can speed this up on its own
  • Record bus routes.AI can speed this up on its own
  • Report delays, accidents, or other traffic and transportation situations, using telephones or mobile two-way radios.AI can speed this up on its own · Seen in real AI use
  • Report delinquent student behaviors to school administration.AI can speed this up on its own
  • Read maps and follow written and verbal geographic directions.AI can speed this up with extra software
  • Check the condition of a vehicle's tires, brakes, windshield wipers, lights, oil, fuel, water, and safety equipment to ensure that everything is in working order.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Comply with traffic regulations to operate vehicles in a safe and courteous manner.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Drive gasoline, diesel, or electrically powered multi-passenger vehicles to transport students between neighborhoods, schools, and school activities.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Escort small children across roads and highways.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Follow safety rules as students board and exit buses or cross streets near bus stops.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Keep bus interiors clean for students.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Maintain order among students during trips to ensure safety.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Make minor repairs to vehicles.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Pick up and drop off students at regularly scheduled neighborhood locations, following strict time schedules.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Regulate heating, lighting, and ventilation systems for student comfort.Little or no AI speed-up
  • Report any bus malfunctions or needed repairs.Little or no AI speed-up
What you can do about it

Get a personal plan for what to learn next.

Skill Half Life turns this score into a 90-day plan for your situation: your realistic options, the skills that carry over, and training that fits your time and budget. Coming soon.

See your options

Questions about bus drivers, school and AI

Will AI replace bus drivers, school?

Unlikely. Most of the work is hard for today's AI to speed up. Bus Drivers, School score 32 out of 100 (moderate exposure), #501 of 923 US jobs. AI could speed up 6 of the job's 17 tasks, 5 of them on its own, while 11 see little or no speed-up. Exposure means the work is likely to change, not that the job will disappear.

Which bus drivers, school tasks can AI do?

The most exposed tasks include "Maintain knowledge of first-aid procedures"; "Prepare and submit reports that may include the number of students or trips, hours worked, mileage, or fuel consumption"; "Record bus routes".

Which bus drivers, school tasks are hardest for AI?

Tasks with little or no AI speed-up include "Check the condition of a vehicle's tires, brakes, windshield wipers, lights, oil, fuel, water, and safety equipment to ensure that everything is in working order"; "Comply with traffic regulations to operate vehicles in a safe and courteous manner"; "Drive gasoline, diesel, or electrically powered multi-passenger vehicles to transport students between neighborhoods, schools, and school activities".

Are people already using AI for this work?

Yes. In April–May 2026, 1 of the 17 tasks showed up in real conversations with Claude, according to the Anthropic Economic Index.

How many people work as bus drivers, school, and what do they earn?

About 402,930 people in the US, with median pay of $47,920 a year (BLS, May 2025).

How to read this score. Exposure measures how much of the work AI could speed up, not whether the job will disappear. A highly exposed job can change shape, with people spending less time on routine tasks and more on the rest. The score counts tasks AI can speed up on its own in full, and tasks that need extra software at half weight.

The ratings come from published research based on GPT-4 (2023). To show what's happening now, each task is also checked against the latest Anthropic Economic Index, which records which tasks people actually use AI for. That data is refreshed automatically when Anthropic publishes a new release. Read the full method.

The weekly exposure report

Know what's changing before it reaches your job.

One short email a week: which jobs are most exposed, the research worth knowing about, and one practical step you can take. Plus a free PDF report the moment you sign up.

Free · one email a week · unsubscribe anytime